- The place where it is estimated that it could fall is still unknown, however, they have calculated the time of impact, which could be during the early hours of November 5.

Image of the launch of the Wentian module aboard the Long March 5B rocket.

Another Chinese rocket out of control threatens Earth: it is expected to crash this Saturday

On October 31, China launched one of its Long March 5B rockets from the Wenchang Space Launch Center (Hainan). With this launch, they sent the third and last module to the Chinese space station Tiangong: Mengtian. Now, the rocket has to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere.

As calculated by The Aerospace Corporation, the core stage of the 21-metric-ton Long March 5B will return to the atmosphere at 04:17 AM in Spain (11:17 PM ET), on November 5. At the moment, it is unknown where this part of the rocket will fall and if it will threaten any human life or property.

Our latest prediction for #CZ5B rocket body reentry is:
🚀04 Nov 2022 23:17 UTC ± 10 hours
Reentry will be along one of the ground tracks shown here. It is still too early to determine a meaningful debris footprint. Follow here for updates:  https://t.co/KZZ9Lh3tes pic.twitter.com/gp5CmPKO8b

— The Aerospace Corporation (@AerospaceCorp) November 2, 2022

Estimates on the time of impact are updated through the official account of The Aerospace Corporation. Your data is based on the analysis of the information collected by the Space Surveillance Network of the United States Space Force and may vary, so we will have to be attentive to the publications of the account.

This is the fourth time that a piece of a Long March 5B has entered the Earth in an uncontrolled manner. Although it is not the first time, it seems that China has not yet solved this risk that they take with their launches, leaving the landing site to chance.

The other times that a core stage of Long March 5B has re-entered the atmosphere in an uncontrolled manner have not caused any deaths or injuries. They fell in an inhabited area on the west coast of Africa, in the Indian Ocean, and in northern Borneo (Asia). Although there has been no human damage yet, scientists fear that this may happen sooner or later if no action is taken.

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